Kudos to the Guardian which has obtained council-level euro results and munged them together into one giant spreadsheet with click-sort columns, over on its datablog.
The hook the Guardian are using is that it allows you see just how well the BNP did in your area, but anyone with a political hat will want to play with the data and slice it in numerous different ways.
Congratulations, then, to South Lakeland, for the highest Lib Dem Euro score anywhere in the country; commiserations to Barking and Dagenham where we polled under 5%… and ooh – is that a weak correlation between high BNP poll and low Lib Dem score? I think it might be!
EDIT: A grumble in the comments that minor party scores are not there – if you click the link in the first text paragraph there’s a Google Docs spreadsheet with comprehensive information including every party / independent who stood.
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12 Comments
It would be better yet if it included the SNP and Plaid figures.
Here are the BNP vote percentage correlations with all of the parties in case you’re really interested:
CON Green LD Labour UKIP
-.211** -.456** -.325** .360** .302**
.000 .000 .000 .000 .000
And these are for the LibDems with everyone else:
BNP CON Green Labour UKIP
-.325** .091 .341** -.362** -.052
.000 .069 .000 .000 .298
I should point out that the top figure represents the positive or negative correlation and the bottom figure whether that’s statistically significant or not (two-tailed at 0.05 level).
Inter party correlations with the BNP (using Excel’s =CORREL function):
BNP: 1.00
Christians: -0.05
Conservative: -0.21
Eng Dem: 0.44
Jury Team: 0.02
Liberal Democrats: -0.33
No2EU 0.40
Libertas.eu: 0.21
Socialist Labour: 0.29
Greens: -0.46
Labour: 0.35
UKIP: 0.31
Plaid: -0.37
SNP: +0.31
I see someone who really knows what they’re doing has done a better analysis than me.
James,
The version of the spreadsheet I’ve seen includes both…
I’ll email it to you…
Martin
Lots of people outside Cornwall (but in the South West constituency) voted for Mebyon Kernow, 400 in Wiltshire for example. Perhaps they should launch a national cornish nationalist party!
http://leftsideofliberal.blogspot.com/2009/06/statistics-bnp-versus-lib-dems-also.html
Graphporn!
I want to download it but can’t so as a result have been stopped by London (Lewisham) and the West Midlands (Birmingham) not being able to upload their data, the South West (Poole) not having sent the information as they promised to this morning and having the wrong type of computer to access the East Midlands (Leicester) so could someone please send the results via e-mail please and I would be very grateful indeed
Alex, you’ve tagged this story ‘south alkeland’!
Harry have sent you a copy.
Ned – oops, isn’t that in Scandiwegia somewhere?
Torbay makes for gloomy reading unfortunately.